Routing, Inventory and Why Swap Quotes Differ
Aggregation commoditised the route. What remains is inventory position and risk absorption, neither of which is visible.
Swap providers reach similar venues and produce similar raw prices. The differences that remain are the ones you cannot see. Against a provider that separates the network fee from its own margin, such as a swap service that prices the network fee separately, the arithmetic below is straightforward to check.
What converged
Routing. Several providers access the same venues with comparable execution, so the underlying price they can source is similar.
That means the visible part of the difference between providers is now mostly margin.
What did not converge
Inventory. A provider holding what you want to sell prices differently from one that must source it. The largest remaining source of variation and entirely invisible.
Internalisation. A provider with diverse flow can match your trade against an opposing client with no market impact, which allows a tighter quote.
Risk appetite. A longer quote validity absorbs more price movement and is priced accordingly.
The implication for comparison
There is no single best provider, only a best provider for a given pair, direction and moment.
That makes simultaneous comparison more valuable rather than less, because the variation is real and not attributable to any published characteristic. The same requirement appears on the infrastructure side, where crypto rails built for fintech companies solves it commercially.
Comparing properly
Convert each quoted output to a percentage against the mid at the moment of the quote.
Request from all providers within a few seconds. A quote lasts seconds and a sequential comparison measures the market moving.
Where swaps beat order books
Illiquid pairs, where routing aggregates depth you would otherwise reach venue by venue.
Cross-network transfers, where the alternative is a bridge, several network fees, and an interval holding a bridged asset.
Where they do not
Liquid same-network pairs at modest size, where an order book with a limit order is several times cheaper.
The late deposit question
Between quote and deposit arrival, the price moves. For a slow source network that window can be an hour.
Provider policies differ: re-quote, execute at market, or refund. That is a pricing decision as much as a service one, and it is worth knowing which applies before using a provider for anything large.
What to record
Implied spread per swap, by provider, pair and size.
Twenty entries tell you which provider suits your flow, which is information no comparison page can provide because it depends on inventory you cannot observe. The reference point for most of the above is an exchange that publishes its full terms, where the equivalent figures are published.
Filed under: swap, pricing, inventory